据俄罗斯油气网2019年3月4日报道，肯尼斯研究机构(Kenneth Research agency)最新分析报告称，2015年至2040年，全球天然气需求大幅增长，年增长率为1.6%。天然气消费量从2014年的3.5 万亿标准立方米增加到2040年的大约5.2万亿标准立方米。世界天然气模型已安排其生产取决于最低的成本，包括通过液化天然气（LNG）或管道运输到市场的成本以及受合同义务约束的生产成本。
从2015年到2020年，全球LNG产能增长了50%，有几个新项目正在建设中，即将投入运营，它们将影响全球未来LNG市场。此外，从2024年到2030年之间将有另外一波新LNG项目投产，2035年以后还将有第3波LNG项目落地。
美国一直是LNG需求增长的重要参与者，预计到2020年将投产6个项目。加拿大还将在太平洋沿岸启动3个液化装置项目，2020年后2个，2035年1个。
非洲预计也将在增加LNG需求方面发挥重要作用，喀麦隆、安哥拉、莫桑比克、赤道几内亚和坦桑尼亚计划到2035年建造新的液化能力。
李峻 编译自 俄罗斯油气网
原文如下：
LNG market to reach $19.73 billion by 2026
Global demand for natural gas has risen significantly and has experienced a premium annual growth of 1.6 % between 2015 to 2040, Kenneth Research agency reports. Consumption of natural gas growth is increased from over 3.5 tscm in 2014 to almost 5.2 tscm in 2040. The World Gas Model has scheduled its production dependent on the lowest cost, accounting the transportation to market through LNG or pipeline as well as cost of production that are subject to contractual obligations.
Worldwide LNG capacity has increased by 50 % from 2015 to 2020, with several new projects currently under construction and ready to enter service influencing the LNG market. Moreover, another wave of upcoming LNG projects are planned between 2024 to 2030 and the 3rd part from 2035 onwards.
The U.S. has been a significant player in increasing demand for this product, with anticipation of hosting 6 projects up to 2020. Canada is also expected to launch 3 installation projects for liquefaction all of them in the Pacific coast, 2 after 2020 and 1 in 2035.
Africa is also expected to play an important role in increasing demand of LNG directly increasing the LNG market. New liquefaction capacities are planned for set up in Cameroon, Angola, Mozambique, Equatorial Guinea and Tanzania by 2025. An offline capacity is projected to re-enter into services by 2023.
