据道琼斯3月19日消息，盛宝银行分析师Ole Hansen称，在欧佩克减产及石油产量下降后，今年第二季度全球石油市场可能从当前的接近于供求平衡到出现约50万桶/天的供应缺口。不过他表示，尽管基本面乐观，但在攀升至四个月高点之后，目前油价涨势可能会暂停。Hansen称，由于政治目的而减少供应导致的原油价格上涨，只能把油价推高到全球需求可能开始受影响的水平。他认为布伦特和西得克萨斯州中质油的强阻力位分别在每桶70美元和60美元。

唐绍红    摘译自    道琼斯

原文如下：

DJ Small Deficit Likely in Oil Markets in 2Q19 

Following OPEC output cuts and declining production, oil markets would likely see a deficit of around 0.5 million barrels/day emerge in 2Q19 from close to being balanced currently, says Ole Hansen, analyst at Saxo Bank. However, despite the positive fundamentals, oil prices would likely pause now after having climbed to around 4-month-highs, he says. "Rising crude oil prices due to a politically motivated cut in supplies can only carry the price to the point where global demand may begin to suffer," says Hansen. He sees formidable resistance for Brent and WTI at $70/barrel and $60, respectively.