据Oil&Gas Journal网站4月10日休斯顿报道 美国轻质低硫原油价格4月9日在纽约市场温和下跌，但5月和6月的合约仍高于63美元/桶。6月布伦特原油在伦敦也小幅下跌，但在连续第三个交易日中再次收于每桶70美元以上。
盛宝银行大宗商品战略主管奥尔·汉森表示，交易员对战争风险国石油供应的担忧支撑了油价。
汉森表示，布伦特原油价格5个月来首次回升至70美元/桶以上，而美国基准指数正试图重新进入65-75美元的区间，在该区间，轻质、低硫原油价格在2018年11月至12月原油价格暴跌前的6个月内一直处于高位。
国际货币基金组织将其对世界经济增长的预测下调至4月9日10年来的最低水平，原因是外界对俄罗斯是否愿意支持长时间的石油减产表示怀疑。
国际货币基金组织的《世界经济展望》报告预测，2019年世界平均GDP将增长3.3%，略低于1月份的预测。
欧佩克和包括俄罗斯在内的一些非欧佩克生产国计划在6月的一次会议上审查现有的减产目标。
汉森说：“但只要沙特阿拉伯继续像目前一样积极支持减产协议，这些事态发展不太可能对市场产生任何影响。”
王 磊 摘译自 Oil & Gas Journal
原文如下：
Brent crude holds above $70/bbl on Libya supply uncertainty
US light, sweet crude oil prices declined moderately Apr. 9 on the New York market, but the May and June contracts still settled above $63/bbl. Brent crude oil for June also dropped modestly in London but again settled above $70/bbl for a third consecutive session.
Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank head of commodity strategy, said oil prices were supported by traders’ concerns about future oil supplies from a strife-torn and war-risking country .
Brent prices have returned above $70/bbl for the first time in 5 months while the US benchmark is attempting to reenter the $65-75 range where light, sweet crude prices spent 6 months before the November-December 2018 collapse, Hansen said.
The International Monetary Fund downgraded its world economic growth forecast to the lowest in 10 years on Apr. 9 based on doubts about Russia’s willingness to support a prolonged period of oil production cuts.
The IMF’s World Economic Outlook report, which forecasts world 2019 gross domestic product will rise 3.3%, down slightly from its January forecast.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and some non-OPEC producers, including Russia, are scheduled to review existing production-cut targets at a meeting in June.
“But these developments are unlikely to hold any sway over the market as long Saudi Arabia continues to back the production cut deal as aggressively as it has done so far,” Hansen said.
