据彭博社4月24日消息称，根据国际能源署的数据，未来10年，伊拉克将成为全球第三大新石油供应国，产量将提高近30%。

IEA周四表示，欧佩克成员国将在2030年前将日产量提高至近600万桶，超过加拿大，成为全球第四大产油国，在此期间，只有美国和巴西将增加产出。

尽管如此，国际能源署在一份报告中表示，由于伊拉克面临外国投资和专业技术的竞争，以及难以注入足够的水来维持油田的压力，这一增速仍低于本世纪初的水平。与该机构7年前的上一次评估相比，上述预测有所下调。当时该机构预计，到2030年，伊拉克的石油日产量将达到750万桶。

这家总部位于巴黎的组织表示:“伊拉克的潜力巨大，但增产之路并非没有障碍。”该组织在能源政策方面为全球多数主要经济体提供咨询。“无数的地面障碍会大大增加碳氢化合物项目的成本和难度。”

曹海斌 摘译自 彭博社

原文如下：

Iraq Will Deliver Third-Biggest Chunk of New Oil Over Next Decade, IEA Says

Iraq will be the third-biggest provider of new oil supplies over the next decade, boosting its production by almost 30 percent, according to the International Energy Agency.

The OPEC member will raise output to almost 6 million barrels a day by 2030, overtaking Canada as the world’s fourth-largest producer, the IEA said Thursday. only the U.S. and Brazil will add more output in the period.

Still, the growth rate is slower than that seen earlier this decade as Iraq faces competition for foreign investment and expertise, and struggles to inject enough water to maintain pressure at oil reservoirs, the IEA said in a report. The outlook was downgraded from the agency’s last assessment seven years ago, when it projected Iraq would pump 7.5 million barrels a day by 2030.

“Iraq’s potential is huge but the road to increased production is not without obstacles,” said the Paris-based organization, which advises most of the world’s major economies on energy policy. “Myriad above-ground hurdles can add significantly to the cost and difficulty of executing hydrocarbon projects.”